Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.023305 54.019564 60.271210 67.258189 74.831526 82.775198 91.719765
2024-10-20 38.179345 46.843564 56.443127 67.789552 80.754137 95.026688 111.845989
2024-10-27 31.400249 41.073703 52.273131 66.038819 82.339630 100.865400 123.343238
2024-11-03 28.533000 39.312501 52.238504 68.618217 88.549297 111.745364 140.498250
2024-11-10 25.748640 37.229403 51.446756 69.962722 93.039736 120.455836 155.066611
2024-11-17 22.870998 34.674396 49.755318 69.914321 95.608937 126.719949 166.654487
2024-11-24 21.501744 33.927394 50.222114 72.473085 101.351679 136.850443 183.018507
2024-12-01 19.331332 31.861268 48.760692 72.365483 103.586438 142.569390 193.954434
2024-12-08 17.163764 29.582581 46.816081 71.436819 104.613184 146.672087 202.833171
2024-12-15 15.567456 27.976501 45.655612 71.436340 106.760470 152.150107 213.451767
2024-12-22 14.155022 26.509823 44.569756 71.430311 108.821992 157.481340 223.899577
2024-12-29 13.659838 26.412910 45.425868 74.128896 114.562334 167.677558 240.746949
2025-01-05 12.658974 25.454972 44.993558 75.022301 117.923092 174.907467 254.019965
2025-01-12 11.660928 24.415197 44.371485 75.599596 120.844185 181.603251 266.716843
2025-01-19 10.196062 22.434923 42.160818 73.700037 120.158801 183.352720 272.805203
2025-01-26 9.903508 22.469732 43.093246 76.498160 126.193880 194.305093 291.311274
2025-02-02 9.353011 21.987217 43.157292 77.955803 130.303573 202.660242 306.418625
2025-02-09 8.553840 20.967154 42.276800 77.903339 132.180886 207.928715 317.388374
2025-02-16 8.343107 21.042786 43.203827 80.675907 138.247361 219.101949 336.531773
2025-02-23 7.638225 20.086700 42.330883 80.559354 139.999565 224.228468 347.429953
2025-03-02 6.851218 18.880822 40.948782 79.553295 140.359839 227.356277 355.573619
2025-03-09 6.289626 18.079107 40.217583 79.552776 142.210413 232.600746 366.688837
2025-03-16 5.774280 17.319169 39.509535 79.546244 144.025309 237.793966 377.769628